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Home arrow Latest News arrow BI Still Optimistic Economic Growth Reaches 5.3%

BI Still Optimistic Economic Growth Reaches 5.3% PDF Print E-mail
Written by Maizer   
Thursday, 19 May 2016

Bank Indonesia assess Indonesia's economic growth target of 5.3 percent is still possible to be reached until the end of 2016 with one of them requires a boost acceleration of budget disbursement. Mirza said the acceleration of budget disbursement should be encouraged by all departments, ministries and local governments so that there is hope of better economic growth in the second quarter compared to the first quarter, reaching only 4.92 percent.


"In the first quarter of budget disbursement in the region is still low, should continue to be encouraged hopefully the third quarter and the fourth quarter could have been better so as to reach 5.2 to 5.3 percent is still something that may be achieved. If to reach 5.6 per cent is still too early, "said BI Senior Deputy Governor Adityaswara Mirza at the launch BINDESIA at Cilankap, Depok, West Java, on Saturday.



According to him, the economic slowdown in the first quarter does not only happen in Indonesia, such as neighboring countries such as Singapore grew only about 1 per cent, Thailand at under 2 percent, even China is only about 6.5 percent.


China's economic growth has affected the significant decline in commodity prices such as in mines and plantations of up to 70-80 percent.


The fall in commodity prices also affect the region producing similar commodities, such as Sumatra and Borneo, each contributing 20 percent and 9 percent of the Indonesian economy.


In addition to a slowing of the Chinese economy, the effect of the economic slowdown in Indonesia was also affected by the US central bank the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, causing financial turmoil in many countries.


"The slowdown is too deep turmoil coupled with interest rates that occurred in 2013-2015. Both of these factors that make the economic slowdown, "said Mirza.


Nevertheless, he remains optimistic that economic growth target of 5.3 per cent can be achieved because the Chinese economy began to show signs of recovery so that the prices of some commodities, such as oil palm, rubber, nickel and tin began to increase, although not significant.


Delay interest rate hikes the Fed also made a more stable exchange rate so that the manufacturing industry in Java that require imported goods can move back and accounted for 60 percent of Indonesia's economy



BI Masih Optimis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Capai 5,3 %



Bank Indonesia menilai target pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia sebesar 5,3 persen masih memungkinkan dicapai hingga akhir 2016 dengan memerlukan dorongan salah satunya percepatan pencairan anggaran. Mirza mengatakan percepatan pencairan anggaran harus didorong oleh setiap departemen, kementerian dan pemerintah daerah sehingga ada harapan pertumbuhan ekonomi lebih baik pada kuartal II dibandingkan kuartal I yang hanya mencapai 4,92 persen.



“Di kuartal I pencairan anggaran di daerah masih rendah, harus didorong terus mudah-mudahan kuartal III dan kuartal IV bisa lebih baik sehingga untuk mencapai 5,2-5,3 persen masih sesuatu yang mungkin dicapai. Kalau untuk mencapai 5,6 persen saat ini masih terlalu awal,” kata Deputi Gubernur Senior BI Mirza Adityaswara pada peluncuran BINDESIA di Cilangkap, Depok, Jawa Barat, Sabtu.



Menurut dia, perlambatan ekonomi pada kuartal I tidak hanya terjadi di Indonesia, misalnya saja negara tetangga seperti Singapura hanya tumbuh sekitar 1 persen, Thailand di bawah 2 persen, bahkan Tiongkok hanya sekitar 6,5 persen.


Pertumbuhan ekonomi Tiongkok ini turut berimbas pada turunnya harga komoditas secara signifikan seperti pada tambang dan perkebunan hingga 70-80 persen.


Turunnya harga komoditas pun berpengaruh pada wilayah penghasil komoditas sejenis, seperti Sumatra dan Kalimantan yang masing-masing menyumbang 20 persen dan 9 persen perekonomian Indonesia.


Selain perekonomian Tiongkok yang melambat, pengaruh perlambatan ekonomi Indonesia juga dipengaruhi oleh bank sentral Amerika Serikat The Fed yang menaikkan suku bunga sehingga menyebabkan gejolak moneter di berbagai negara.


“Perlambatan terlalu dalam ini ditambah gejolak suku bunga Amerika yang terjadi pada 2013-2015. Kedua faktor ini yang membuat perlambatan ekonomi,” ujar Mirza.


Meski demikian, ia tetap optimistis target pertumbuhan ekonomi 5,3 persen dapat tercapai karena perekonomian Tiongkok mulai menunjukkan tanda-tanda pemulihan sehingga harga sejumlah komoditas, seperti kelapa sawit, karet, nikel dan timah mulai meningkat walaupun belum signifikan.


Penundaan kenaikan suku bunga The Fed juga membuat kurs lebih stabil sehingga industri manufaktur di Pulau Jawa yang memerlukan barang impor dapat beraktivitas kembali dan menyumbang 60 persen perekonomian Indonesia



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