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Home arrow Latest News arrow Indonesian Economy Until the End of the Year Predicted 5.1 Percent


				
			
			
Indonesian Economy Until the End of the Year Predicted 5.1 Percent PDF Print E-mail
Written by Maizer   
Friday, 12 October 2018

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates Indonesia's economic growth to be around 5.1 percent this year and next. This was conveyed in the October 2018 edition of the World Economic Outlook report on the sidelines of the IMF-World Bank Annual Meeting, Nusa Dua Bali, Tuesday (9/10 2018).

 

The projection figure is below the target set by the government in the 2018 State Budget (APBN) which reaches 5.4%. For next year, the government projects Indonesia's gross domestic product (GDP) to rise 5.2%.

 

Economic growth for ASEAN 5 countries which consists of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam alone is estimated to reach 5.3% in 2018 before falling to 5.2% in 2019.

 

"A downward revision of 0.2 percentage points for growth projections in 2019 illustrates the economic impact of recent trading measures," according to the report.

 

The world economy is threatened to grow slowly following the trade dispute between the US and China which has not yet shown signs of abating. Two countries with the world's largest economy have mutually imposed import tariffs on various products worth hundreds of billions of US dollars.

 

The IMF even lowered its forecast for global economic growth to 3.7% this year and 2019 due to various risks looming.

 

"Last April, the momentum of the world economy broadly led us to expect growth of 3.9% this year and next," IMF chief economist Maurice Obstfeld said.

 

"However, considering the developments that have occurred since then, the figure seems too optimistic: instead of increasing, growth has stabilized at 3.7%," he added.

 

 

Ekonomi Indonesia Hingga Akhir Tahun Diprediksi 5,1 Persen

 

 

International Monetary Fund (IMF) memperkirakan pertumbuhan ekonomi indonesia berada dikisaran 5,1 persen tahun ini dan tahun depan. Hal itu disampaikannya dalam laporan World Economic Outlook edisi Oktober 2018  disela-sela IMF-World Bank Annual Meeting, Nusa Dua Bali, Selasa (9/10/ 2018).

 

Angka proyeksi tersebut berada di bawah target yang ditetapkan pemerintah dalam Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara (APBN) 2018 yang mencapai 5,4%. Untuk tahun depan, pemerintah memproyeksikan produk domestik bruto (PDB) Indonesia dapat naik 5,2%.

 

Pertumbuhan ekonomi untuk negara-negara ASEAN 5 yang terdiri dari Indonesia, Malaysia, Filipina, Thailand, dan Vietnam sendiri diperkirakan mencapai 5,3% di 2018 sebelum turun menjadi 5,2% di 2019.

 

"Revisi ke bawah sebesar 0,2 poin persentase untuk proyeksi pertumbuhan di 2019 menggambarkan dampak ekonomi dari langkah-langkah perdagangan baru-baru ini," menurut laporan tersebut.

 

Perekonomian dunia terancam tumbuh melambat menyusul perseteruan dagang antara AS dan China yang belum juga menunjukkan tanda-tanda mereda. Dua negara dengan perekonomian terbesar di dunia itu telah saling mengenakan tarif impor terhadap berbagai produk senilai ratusan miliar dolar AS.

 

IMF bahkan menurunkan juga perkiraan pertumbuhan ekonomi globalnya menjadi 3,7% di tahun ini dan 2019 akibat berbagai risiko yang membayangi.

 

"April lalu, momentum perekonomian dunia secara luas membuat kami memperkirakan pertumbuhan sebesar 3,9% untuk tahun ini dan tahun depan," kata kepala ekonom IMF Maurice Obstfeld

 

"Namun, mempertimbangkan perkembangan yang terjadi sejak saat itu, angka tersebut tampaknya terlalu optimistis: alih-alih meningkat, pertumbuhan telah stabil di 3,7%," tambahnya.

 
		
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